Commentary

‘Railroad Happy Hour’ Report: Market Leaders Point to ‘Mixed Conditions’ Across Railroad, Intermodal Network

“Leaders in the railroad market pointed to mixed conditions across the railroad and intermodal network,” according to TD Cowen’s latest Railroad Happy Hour report. “Improved operations are aiding service offerings for merchandise

Commentary

TD Cowen 1Q24 Rail Shipper Survey Says …

Our survey is comprehensive and covers a broad range of industrial and consumer industries, among others. Chemicals, Transportation, and Manufacturing comprised the largest percentages of participants. Shippers completing this survey had approximately

Commentary

TD Cowen 1Q24 Rail Equipment Survey Says …

Our 1Q24 survey results are neutral to mildly positive for railcar demand. The order outlook was mixed, but a lower percent of shippers not ordering cited “no need” in 1Q24 than did

Commentary

TD Cowen 1Q24 Earnings Preview

We adjust our models as we head into Q124 earnings–a slow start to the year due to harsh weather was followed with a rebound and U.S. carloadings turning positive YTD, led by

Tom Ellman, CFO, GATX (left); and Shari Hellerman, Head of Investor Relations, GATX (right).
Commentary

GATX Meeting Takeaways From TD Cowen

We spent a day in two Ohio cities with GATX CFO Tom Ellman and Head of Investor Relations Shari Hellerman. Takeaways include: continued strength in North America railcar leasing; growth in India, where GATX constitutes substantially all the private-sector railcar leasing landscape; Europe growth; and a commitment to investing in long-lived, service-intensive assets, an investment grade, and returning excess cash.

Justin Roberts, VP, Corporate Finance & Treasurer, The Greenbrier Companies
Commentary

Greenbrier Group Meeting Takeaways From TD Cowen

We hosted a virtual group meeting with Justin Roberts, VP, Corporate Finance & Treasurer, The Greenbrier Companies. Mr. Roberts remains confident in GBX’s long-term operational plan, launched in April at the company’s first-ever investor day. Inquiry and order activity has been solid in recent weeks. He expects stable industry builds at or modestly above replacement for the next few years.

Jason Kuehn, Vice President Rail Practice, Oliver Wyman
Commentary

REF Locomotive Day Takeaways From TD Cowen

Most locomotive energy transition scenarios bode well for Wabtec and to a lesser extent Caterpillar. There appears to be a near-consensus within the industry that the fleet will be zero-emission non-diesel in the long term but no clear consensus on what that will be, although hydrogen electrolyzer is a leading candidate. Bridge technologies could include biofuels, renewable diesel, hydrogen ICE, and battery.

Matt Elkott
Commentary

REF 2024: Rail Equipment Close to Equilibrium; Structural Shifts May Emerge

We had one-on-one and group meetings with several rail and rail equipment stakeholders at the Rail Equipment Finance Conference 2024 (REF), held March 3-6 in La Quinta, Calif. Putting the pieces together,

Yes there is an official “Suds With Seidl” beer glass. Just remember Rule G if you’re on duty! William C. Vantuono photo.
Commentary

Suds with Seidl: Positives From TD Cowen ‘Railroad Happy Hour’

Industry leaders were more bullish on rail and intermodal at the latest “Suds with Seidl” event at TD Cowen, as they see strong February trends after some weather-related weakness in January. The 2022

“We are introducing 2024 EPS annual guidance of $1.30 to $1.50, which reflects improving margins in both our segments [Rail Products Group and Railcar Leasing and Management Services Group],” Trinity Industries President and CEO Jean Savage said on Feb. 22.

‘Continued Improvement’ Expected in 2024, Trinity’s Savage Says

Trinity Industries’ closed out 2023 with revenue up 51% over 2022 and a backlog of $3.2 billion, President and CEO Jean Savage said during an Feb. 22 financial report. Rising leasing rates

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