crude by rail

RBN Energy: The decline and fall of East Coast CBR

As RBN Energy LLC analyst Sandy Fielden describes in Slow Train Coming: The Decline and Fall of East Coast Crude by Rail, the economics of shipping crude oil out of North Dakota’s Bakken region, compared to importing equivalent crude, are having a detrimental impact on crude-by-rail (CBR) shipments to the East Coast.

CBR: What’s happening in the Rockies?

According to the latest Energy Information Administration (EIA) monthly Drilling Productivity Report, crude production from the Niobrara shale region in Colorado and Wyoming, which peaked at 491 Mb/d (million barrels per day) in April 2015, is forecast to decline by roughly100 Mb/d to 388 Mb/d through March 2016, in response to falling crude prices and lower drilling activity.

Does zero Bakken crude for Irving Oil indicate a trend?

Irving Oil Ltd., operator of Canada’s largest crude oil refinery, has stopped importing crude oil sourced from the Bakken shale formation in North Dakota and shipped by rail in favor of cheaper crudes from such producers as OPEC, “reflecting a shift in crude costs affecting East Coast refiners during a global slump in oil prices,” the Wall Street Journal recently reported.

West Coast CBR shipments stable, for now

There is “big potential” to expand crude by rail shipments to West Coast ports and to California, but building the infrastructure “has proven painstakingly slow,” writes RBN Energy LLC analyst Rusty Braziel.