CN, CP Deliver Grain Haul Records in 2020-21 Crop Year

Canada’s two Class I railroads continue to set records for grain moves. For the 2020-21 crop year, CN and Canadian Pacific (CP) each reported about 31 million metric tons (MMT) shipped, despite weather and other challenges.

Commentary

A Fight for Shareholder Approval

Canadian Pacific, CN and Kansas City Southern have been battling for votes in KCS’s upcoming shareholder vote on August 19 to approve or reject the CN transaction. CP has been actively telling investors to vote no, while KCS and CN have been pushing for approval. It remains uncertain if there will be a decision from the STB on a CN/KCS voting trust prior to the shareholder vote. We continue to believe that there is a 60% chance of approval for the voting trust, but remain wary of the political climate.

STB Issues Decision on CP’s Declaratory Order Petition

The Surface Transportation Board (STB) has granted in part Canadian Pacific’s (CP) petition for declaratory relief: It confirmed that CP may use “discovery” under STB regulations to seek relevant material from Kansas City Southern (KCS) to prepare its control application.

KCS Speaks Out on CP’s Preliminary Proxy Statement

Canadian Pacific’s SEC filing asking Kansas City Southern shareholders to vote against the proposed CN-KCS combination is “part of an effort to defeat a transaction that offers KCS shareholders $50 per share more than CP was willing to offer,” KCS said in an Aug. 2 statement.

CP to KCS Shareholders: Read the Blue Card and Vote Red (“Stop”)

Know your colors and words: Canadian Pacific has filed a preliminary proxy statement and accompanying “BLUE” proxy card with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to be used to solicit votes of Kansas City Southern (KCS) shareholders to vote “AGAINST” the proposed CN-KCS combination at a scheduled Aug. 19, 2021 KCS special shareholders meeting.

STB to Class I’s: Terminal Congestion, Demurrage Data, Please

Surface Transportation Board (STB) Chairman Martin J. Oberman has called on the CEOs of the seven North American Class I’s to provide information on the extent of congestion at key U.S. container terminals and on their policies and practices for assessing container demurrage fees, citing reports of “substantial charges being levied by the railroads for container storage at these terminals.”

P&H Expanding CN-Served Grain Elevator in Western Canada

Parrish & Heimbecker (P&H) is expanding its CN-served Quill Lake, Saskatchewan, grain elevator this summer, so it can “clear twice as much grain out of the facility.”

CN: ‘Strong’ 2Q21, Voting Trust Answer Expected Soon

CN followed potential merger partner Kansas City Southern (KCS) in reporting financial results for second-quarter 2021, noting C$3.598 billion in revenues—an increase of 12% over the prior-year period—and a 13% increase in revenue ton-miles (RTMs).

CP: TSB Fire Allegations ‘Irresponsible and Misleading’

Canadian Pacific has responded to the Transportation Safety Board of Canada (TSB) investigation update concerning the June 30, 2021 fire in Lytton, B.C., which occurred in the vicinity of Mile 98.3 on CN’s Ashcroft Subdivision by stating that “railways are not a significant cause of wildfires in B.C., contrary to media and government speculation” and that “it is irresponsible and misleading to imply that railways are to blame for the fire.”

KCS 2Q21: Strong Volume; Service ‘Short of Expectations’ (Updated, Cowen)

Kansas City Southern (KCS) on July 16 was the first Class I to report second-quarter 2021 earnings. For the possibly merger-bound railroad, revenue of $749.5 million grew 37% from the prior-year period ($547.9 million) based on higher carload volumes (up 31%), higher fuel surcharge, and the strengthening of the Mexican peso against the U.S. dollar. Service quality, however, was somewhat short of company expectations.

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